A black swan event—named because of the rarity of black swans—is described as an unpredictable and extremely rare episode with severe systematic consequences. These events have devastating consequences for fragile public health supply chains. Global black swan events cause dual shocks to the world’s supply chain that involve both origination and destination as both suppliers and patients are impacted, sending everyone scrambling to leverage the same limited resources. This guide uses scenario mapping—predicting what might happen in the future and how your program/supply chain might operate—to help decision makers plan for recovery, weigh the information and advice they have received and make informed decisions.
Guidelines: Recovery Strategies for Public Health Supply Chains Post-Black Swan Event
Scenario Planning and Recommendations
February 24, 2021
March 16, 2021