Supply Planning

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Woman data analytics at computer in Kenya
Woman data analytics at computer in Kenya
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Photo Credit: USAID Kenya
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Globally and nationally, the USAID Global Health Supply Chain Program-Procurement and Supply Management (GHSC-PSM) project uses and promotes advanced quantification methods to improve forecasts and provide suppliers and managers with more accurate information to plan their production and deliveries, which helps countries avoid stockouts and product waste through expiration. Consolidating supply chains from multiple countries also allows for bulk purchasing and drives down commodity costs.

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Global Demand Forecasts
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Our Plan team creates global demand forecasts for USAID’s procurement of various health commodity types based on historical information, public health indicators, market-shaping initiatives, international donor activities, and statistical modeling. Our experts monitor global consumption patterns and supply to take corrective steps in forecasting and communicating demand risks.

The Automated Requisition Tracking Management Information System (ARTMIS) has an integrated tool for optimized supply planning.

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National Forecasts & Quantification
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Our experts work with government agencies, public- and private-sector organizations, and other donors to improve demand forecasts using a variety of tools and data sources. This coordination helps ensure shipments are planned, scheduled, and monitored for continuity of product availability.

National quantification exercises inform international donor spending and ministry of health commodity requirements for individual countries.

Forthcoming are GHSC-PSM guidance documents and standard operating procedures for country-level forecasting and supply planning of various commodity types.

News & Highlights

Success Stories
April 25, 2022
Fanny Mdeba, 24, of Blantyre, failed to receive treatment after being diagnosed with malaria last year, at Zingwangwa Health Centre due to the unavailability of malaria medication. However, this year, she could get treated. "I felt feverish earlier this year," she said. "I went to the health center…
Success Stories
April 25, 2022
Malaria is on the rise. Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, over-burdened health facilities, lockdown, and changes to transportation—such as new travel restrictions to deliver goods between countries and fewer flights and trucks making deliveries—have disrupted access for populations at high…
Photo Essay
April 8, 2022
GHSC-PSM is celebrating World Health Worker Week with stories about our supply chain professionals and their work to help people live happier, healthier lives. Through their technical and logistical support, as well as their dynamic, creative thinking, they work tirelessly to ensure that patients…

Success Stories

April 27, 2022
Fanny Mdeba, 24, of Blantyre, failed to receive treatment after being diagnosed with malaria last year, at Zingwangwa Health Centre due to the unavailability of malaria medication. However, this year, she could get treated. "I felt feverish earlier this year," she said. "I went to the…
April 27, 2022
Malaria is on the rise. Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, over-burdened health facilities, lockdown, and changes to transportation—such as new travel restrictions to deliver goods between countries and fewer flights and trucks making deliveries—have disrupted access for…
April 27, 2022
Malawi’s rural population makes up about 82 percent of the entire population. Reaching them with medicine can be a significant challenge as 72 percent of the country’s roads are unpaved and dirt roads making travel by road difficult and often dangerous. The country saw an average of 5,592 traffic…